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Maher: Crack a cerveza and calm down - Mexico's safer than you think!   by Stephen Maher, Postmedia News

After I checked my email at a poolside bar in Playa del Carmen last week, I checked the news, and read about Sheila Nabb's terrible injuries in Mazatlan.

Nabb, a 37-year-old Calgary office worker, was attacked in an elevator at her five-star resort in the small hours of the morning. Every bone in her face was broken and she faces a long painful recovery.

On my flight back to snowy Ottawa, I watched a TV story about another Canadian attacked in Mazatlan.

Scott Giddy, of Fergus, Ont., was beaten over the head near the same resort last spring.

The TV networks have been playing these stories in heavy rotation, asking whether Canadians should feel safe travelling to Mexico.

These are compelling personal stories, the kind of news that keeps you from clicking your remote, and it is easy for producers to justify this sensationalism because the TV stations are making Canadians aware of the risks of travelling to Mexico, which are real.

But there are risks, also, with a day on the nearest ski hill, with the drive to the ski hill, with taking a cruise in Italy, or even staying locked in your own residence in Canada, where you might slip in the tub and crack your head.

As we become safer and richer, our culture becomes ever more risk averse, and stories like Nabb's and Giddy's loom too large in our thoughts.

It would be unwise, to be sure, to take a holiday in Ciudad Juarez, on the Rio Grande, where ruthless and well-financed drug cartels are engaged in an unbelievably grim war for control of the choke point of the multi-billion-dollar cocaine pipeline that runs from the jungles of Columbia to the noses of your neighbours.

They find bodies all over the place in that unhappy city — often headless, disfigured bodies. Police officers quit their jobs out of mortal terror, and the morgue sometimes runs out of space. It's so bad that hundreds of thousands of locals have fled to safer cities.

But Mexico is not a place. It is a bunch of places, and some of them are safer than places in Canada.

I had a great time in Yucatan province last week, inland from Playa del Carmen. We rented a car and drove to Chichen Itza, which is stunning, and spent a happy night at a fiesta among the welcoming people of the colonial city of Vallodilid, watching proud young people dancing in beautiful, hand-embroidered clothes.

The murder rate in Yucatan is 2 per 100,000. Thunder Bay's murder rate is 4.2 per 100,000.

In 2011, six Canadians were murdered in Mexico, which is six tragedies, but 1.6 million Canadians went there — enough to fill the Air Canada Centre 80 times.

In 2010, according to crime statistics compiled by the Department of Foreign Affairs, four Canadians were killed in Mexico, two in the Dominican Republic, one in Costa Rica, five in the United States and none in Cuba or Costa Rica.

When you divide the number of murders by the number of tourists, you get one death per 8.5 million in the United States, one per 400,000 in Mexico and the Dominican Republic and one per 150,000 in Costa Rica.

But I'm not sure there's even any point to giving it that much thought, because all the numbers are so low. In Mexico in 2010, 21 Canadians died in accidents and 76 died of natural causes, many among the 60,000 retirees who live there.

And last week many people were bashed on the head here in Canada.

The expatriates I spoke to in the lovely beachside bars of Tulum, down the coast from Cancun, are more worried about potholes than being murdered.

In Canada, we have nine road fatalities per year per 100,000 inhabitants. Compare that number to the number of Canadians murdered in Mexico, and you have to come to the conclusion that crime in Mexico is not worth thinking about very much.

That doesn't mean you can't find trouble. You can find trouble in Thunder Bay if you go looking for it.

Don't go to Ciudad Juarez. Wherever you go, don't get hammered and wander around with your wallet bulging in your back pocket. Get your hotel to call you a taxi. Don't drive at night. Don't bring a prostitute back to your hotel room. Don't buy drugs. If you go out at night, stay on busy, well-lit streets.

Keep your eyes open but don't think about it too much. Obsessing about the tragic stories of the small number of people who get attacked or murdered in Mexico distorts our risk calculations and makes us needlessly fearful.

Mexico is amazing. The chances of anything bad happening to you there are small.

Do you want to live your life obsessing about tiny risks or do you want to enjoy the fiesta?

smaher@postmedia.com

Twitter.com/stphnmaher

 

Surviving in Mexico not so hard

Tuesday, December 20, 2011
 
By Carl Strock, Gazette columnist
 
I am back from my vacation in Mexico, ladies and gentlemen, or will be by the time you read this, and can report that my wife, who accompanied me, and I are still alive. We did not get beheaded, kidnapped, tortured or shot.
I mention this little detail because before we went any number of people asked me, “Aren’t you afraid?” and I felt obliged to answer, “Just a little bit,” based on the news stories we all read of the atrocities committed by drug gangs.
I should have known better, but I made that concession to sociability. I’ve traveled before in Mexico and know that one is no more likely to walk into a shoot-out there than anywhere else. The drug gangs fight mostly with each other and with the police (who are sometimes the same people), not with innocent wayfarers. Or at least the odds are greatly against it.
This time we traveled from Mexico City to Oaxaca to Chiapas, as far as the Guatemalan border, with a side trip to visit friends in Tlaxcala, logging 49 hours by bus, 12 hours by van, and an hour and a half by motorboat — it got so long I kept track of it — not to mention many miles on the Mexico City subway and by foot everywhere — and the closest we came to being afraid was on our visit to the shrine of Santa Muerte in the most squalid neighborhood of Mexico City when two policemen told us in hushed voices to get the hell out of there, that it was way too dangerous, even though we felt no threat and no one molested us in any way.
Everywhere else we were as comfortable as on our own front porch, even when we went through a military checkpoint entering territory nominally controlled by the Zapatista Army of National Liberation, the over-named rebel group in Chiapas.
We felt no danger ourselves, and we were not aware of other people feeling danger. Everywhere we went, people were going about their business as they always do and were as friendly and polite as they always are. Police and military presence was minimal.
Our first night in Oaxaca we strolled around the zocalo, or central plaza, soaking up the same atmosphere that we remembered from our last visit there 25 years ago. A brass band played somewhat raucously in the gazebo; middle-aged couples somberly danced the danzon; teenagers smooched in the shadows and sometimes not in the shadows; children scampered around playing tag or whatever they played; vendors hawked their wares; and all in all it was as pleasing and peaceful a scene as one could imagine.
If Mexico had a Norman Rockwell, it’s what he would have painted. “Are you afraid?” I asked my wife, and we both had a hearty laugh, thinking of the popular conception of Mexico as a land of decapitations and massacres.
Not that the drug wars are not real, of course. It’s just that the ordinary citizen rarely if ever experiences them, just as the ordinary citizen in Schenectady or Albany rarely experiences the shootings in those cities that you read about in the papers.
I got so carried away at one point, sitting at a sidewalk table with a bottle of beer and a saucer of fried grasshoppers, I commented that the whole world should be like Oaxaca.
It’s hard to put your finger on, but there is not in Mexico the sense of violence waiting to erupt that there often is in our own cities. There are no bad dudes posturing in the street, there is no chest-out assertion of territoriality.
Stand at an intersection that has plenty of traffic but no stop sign or traffic light, as I did in San Cristobal de Las Casas, and watch the taxi drivers and truck drivers politely cede the right of way, with never an angry gesture.
As I watched these things and reflected on them, I wondered where the grotesque violence of the gang wars comes from.
In our own urban culture there’s enough antisocial attitude visible right on the surface that it’s easy to see where the occasional outburst of violence originates. Not so in Mexico.
As for Santa Muerte, or Saint Death, I will get back to her another time. She is what’s known as a folk saint, that is, one who is invented by the people rather than by the church, and she seems to be getting bigger in Mexico all the time, especially in Mexico City, despite the church’s condemnation. (Serves the church right, I say.)
I was extremely pleased to visit her only public shrine and to meet, if not the woman who set it up, then her husband, and to buy from him a 20-page set of prayers, which he graciously autographed for me.
I also acquired, separately, at a market that specializes in such things, a bar of Santa Muerte soap as well as other bars endorsed by or dedicated to San Judas Tadeo (a popular saint among the rougher classes of Mexico City), Jesus Malverde (a folk saint of northern drug traffickers), and, of course, the Virgin of Guadalupe. I regard these as collector’s items and trust they will appreciate in value as time goes by.
This is not to mention the Virgin of Guadalupe room spray that I purchased at the Mexico City Cathedral.
I’ll try to work these things in the next time I go on a religion rip, and I’ll also try to work in the ancient Mixtec gods, of whom I made a brief study in the gift shop at the Monte Alban archaeological site.

 

The Facts Concerning Violent Crimes Committed Against US Tourists in Mexico

By Jim Scherrer

This article is prepared in response to an extremely misleading and obviously biased piece recently published on a site known as www.OfficialWire.com and shown under the topic of Official Spin; and spin it is! It was written by Derek Armstrong and posted on his website, Crime Report USA, as follows:

Mexico the Most Dangerous Country for Americans
Wednesday, December 23, 2009 at 3:39PM
U.S. Department of State Warns Largest Number of Non Natural Deaths Occur in Mexico.
Derek Armstrong, Chief Crime Correspondent
Crime Report USA: Mexico is overwhelmingly the most dangerous place for non-service Americans, topping the list of destinations with the highest "Non Natural Deaths", according to the US Department of State:
Top 5 Countries for Non Natural Deaths
Mexico 651
Iraq 82
Costa Rica 69
Thailand 67
Germany 63

Since shocking and misleading headlines such as "Mexico the Most Dangerous Country for Americans" are designed to be attention grabbing, tourists that read such nonsense might want to do their homework before considering vacation destinations in Mexico; they must understand the facts and not be frightened by ridiculous fear tactics put forth by those with ulterior motives.

At first glance, the above article seems to indicate 651 non natural deaths occurred in Mexico last year, however, when the reader digs deeper into the article he finds that the data was obtained over a three year period from 2006 through 2008, resulting in about 220 non natural US deaths per year in Mexico. Of the 220 non natural deaths per year, approximately 50 are homicides, the balance being auto accidents, drownings, suicides, etc. per the US Department of State.

Next, the reader needs to understand that approximately 20 million Americans visit Mexico each year, far more than any other country in the world per the US Dept Commerce. Therefore, we know that about 50 individuals out of every 20 million US visitors to Mexico are murdered during a violent crime every year while in Mexico.

Okay, let's take it a step further; let's determine where in Mexico these violent crimes take place. When reviewing the data presented by the US Department of State, you'll see that the majority of these violent crimes occur in the border towns such as Ciudad Juarez and Tijuana.

Therefore, the next time you plan your winter vacation you might want to avoid these areas; they're probably about as dangerous as Chicago, Detroit, or Los Angeles! Instead of vacationing in beautiful downtown Juarez, you might want to consider a resort destination such as Cancun, Cozumel, Cabo San Lucas, Ixtapa/Zihuatanejo, Acapulco, Huatulco, or Puerto Vallarta.

As 13 year residents of Puerto Vallarta, we can attest to the safety of this magnificent resort destination south of the border where the possession of hand guns is prohibited and violent crime is virtually nonexistent. For proof of this claim, we'll first determine the number of US citizens that visit PV annually and then get the facts related to violent crime in the area.

There are in excess of 200 cruise ships that visit PV from the US every year with an average of more than 2,000 passengers each; i.e. approximately 400,000 passengers arriving annually. During the six month "high season", PV receives more than 50 international flights daily. Let's assume that 40 are from the US carrying an average of 100 passengers on each plane; that's more than 700,000 passengers arriving by air during the six winter months.

Next, let's assume that 30 planes arrive daily in PV during the six summer months of which 20 are from the US; that's another 350,000 passengers arriving by air during the "low season".

Finally, we'll assume that another 50,000 people drive to PV every year. Totaling these conservative numbers, we find that at least 1.5 million tourists from the US visit Vallarta annually. A number of websites such as
http://www.travels.com/destinations/...ta-information put the total number of visitors at 2 million, others such as http://www.puertovallarta.net/fast_f...o_vallarta.php peg it at 2.2 million and assuming at least 75% are from the US, our estimate of 1.5 million US visitors to PV per year is quite accurate.

Now, let's return to the data from the US Department of State. You will notice that during 2008, there were merely five non natural deaths of US visitors in Puerto Vallarta and only one was a homicide. (Chances are that he was doing something or involved with something that he shouldn't have been!). That's one violent death out of 1.5 million visitors for the year or less than 0.7 per million.

According to US government provided data, the US has 6.2 violent deaths annually per 100,000 residents. This information is readily available at the US Bureau of Justice and on other websites such as
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/FASTATS/homicide.htm
.

In other words, we have 62 homicides or violent crimes resulting in death per million residents in the US, or 93 homicides per 1.5 million; i.e., 93 times as many as in Puerto Vallarta!

You'll notice that the author of the referenced article is from Toronto, Canada; a beautiful city with a reputation for being quite safe, having a homicide rate of only 3.1 homicides per 100,000 residents per the Toronto Police Department or approximately half of that in the US.

Still, that equates to 31 per million residents or 46 murders per 1.5 million people, i.e. nearly 50 times as many as the number of Americans murdered in Puerto Vallarta, Mexico!

For example, in 2007, Toronto, with a population of 2,750,000 inhabitants, experienced 84 homicides or approximately 31 per million people.

You'll also notice that the author of the article publishes his propaganda on sites where feedback and comments are impossible; is it any wonder? There have been plenty of knowledgeable folks that have read preposterous articles such as the one addressed above and they too, are voicing their opinions and commenting on websites such as www.TheTruthAboutMexico.com.

For the most part, these are people with intimate knowledge of Mexico and if it were dangerous for Americans in Mexico, they probably wouldn't be living or vacationing there on a routine basis.

(Yes, I am biased and yes, I have an axe to grind [representing real estate buyers in Puerto Vallarta]; but more importantly, I feel it imperative for someone to set the record straight and not allow misleading propaganda to be published on the Internet without being challenged)

Finally, the above data tends to indicate that living in Mexican resort areas such as Puerto Vallarta is nearly 100 times safer than living in the US and 50 times safer than in Toronto, however this is really not the case since the data is skewed by the element of time.

The millions of Americans living in the US or Toronto are permanent residents spending 52 weeks per year at home whereas the Americans visiting PV are only temporary.

In order to adjust for this time differential, the following assumptions must be made: Those 400,000 cruise boat passengers spend only one day in town, those 1,050,000 passengers arriving by air spend an average of 10 days in town, and half of the remaining 50,000 that consider themselves to be American expats live in PV only during the "high season" while the other half live here year round resulting in an average for this group of 40 weeks per year in Vallarta.

The following calculations show that this is equivalent to 68,200 Americans living full time in Puerto Vallarta.

400,000 cruise x 1day + 1,050,000 air x 10 days + 50,000 expats x 280 days =
year year year
400,000 days + 10,500,000 days + 14,000,000 days = 24,900,000 days
year year year year
24,900,000 days x year = 68,200 full time expats in PV
year 365 days

One American homicide per year in PV per 68,200 American expats equates to 14.6 per million or less than half experienced at the safe home town of the author of the misleading article and 1/4 as many as in the US.

In summarizing, the next time someone insinuates that traveling to or vacationing in Mexico is dangerous for Americans, you can present the facts to them. Hopefully, after reviewing this analytical approach with the documented facts and figures provided by the US government, you'll feel much more comfortable and inclined to visit our beautiful Paradise south of the border....

Jim Scherrer has owned property in Puerto Vallarta, Mexico for 26 years and resided there for the past twelve years. The mission of his series of more than 70 articles pertaining to retirement in Puerto Vallarta is to reveal the recent changes that have occurred in Vallarta while dispelling the misconceptions about living conditions in Mexico. For the full series of articles regarding travel to and retirement in Vallarta as well as pertinent Puerto Vallarta links, please visit us at PVREBA.
http://pvreba.com

 

 

Mexico: safer than Canada

Aug 27th 2010, 14:36 by T.W. | MEXICO CITY (The Economist)

OK, so the headline is a bit of a fib. But a report on Mexico’s security situation has painted a more detailed picture than the one we hear about in the news most of the time. When I told friends I was moving to Mexico City, some asked if I would be provided with a bodyguard (no). Business travellers are thinking twice about coming, according to chambers of commerce here. But a detailed breakdown of violence released this week shows that, if you pick your state, you’re as safe—or safer—than in any other North American country.

Mexico’s overall homicide rate is 14 per 100,000 inhabitants: fearsomely high (and possibly an underestimate, given the drugs cartels' habit of hiding bodies in old mines), but quite a lot lower than its great Latin rival Brazil, whose rate is more like 25. As the chart below shows, Mexico’s death rate is bumped up by extraordinarily high levels of violence in four states: Chihuahua (home of Ciudad Juárez, widely labelled the world’s most murderous city), Durango, Sinaloa and Guerrero. Of the rest, some are blissfully serene: Yucatán, where tourists flock to swim with whale sharks and clamber over Chichen Itzá, has a murder rate of 1.7—slightly lower than Canada’s average of 2.1.

Before I am buried an avalanche of polite Canadian emails, I should acknowledge that comparing an entire country with one quiet state is hardly fair: there are no doubt parts of Canada where no-one has been so much as kicked in the shin for decades. But Mexico’s predicament is worth highlighting, because the extreme violence around its border with the United States colours people’s view of the rest of the country, though much of it is pretty quiet. A third of Mexico’s states hover around 5 murders per 100,000, about the same rate as the United States. Another third are around 8 per 100,000, similar to Thailand, for instance. A handful of states have rates in the teens—like Russia, say—and a couple are in the low twenties, a little lower than Brazil’s average. Then you have the chaos of the four very violent states, which sends the average soaring.

The carnage in Mexico’s badlands is not to be underestimated, and nor does it seem to be getting any better. Business travellers should certainly watch out in places such as Juárez and, these days, even in cities such as Monterrey. But people doing business south of the Rio Grande should remember that, even on average, Mexico is a less murderous country than places such as Brazil, and that once you avoid the hotspots, it’s downright safe.

One US Journalist’s nonconformist view of Mexico
By Linda Ellerbee, Guadalajara Reporter June 29, 2010

Sometimes I've been called a maverick because I don't always agree with my colleagues, but then, only dead fish swim with the stream all the time. The stream here is Mexico.

You would have to be living on another planet to avoid hearing how dangerous Mexico has become, and, yes, it's true drug wars have escalated violence in Mexico, causing collateral damage, a phrase I hate. Collateral damage is a cheap way of saying that innocent people, some of them tourists, have been robbed, hurt or killed.

But that's not the whole story. Neither is this. This is my story.

I'm a journalist who lives in New York City, but has spent considerable time in Mexico, specifically Puerto Vallarta, for the last four years. I'm in Vallarta now. And despite what I'm getting from the U.S. media, the 24-hour news networks in particular, I feel as safe here as I do at home in New York, possibly safer.

I walk the streets of my Vallarta neighborhood alone day or night. And I don't live in a gated community, or any other All-Gringo neighborhood. I live in Mexico. Among Mexicans. I go where I want (which does not happen to include bars where prostitution and drugs are the basic products), and take no more precautions than I would at home in New York; which is to say I don't wave money around, I don't act the Ugly American, I do keep my eyes open, I'm aware of my surroundings, and I try not to behave like a fool.

I've not always been successful at that last one. One evening a friend left the house I was renting in Vallarta at that time, and, unbeknownst to me, did not slam the automatically-locking door on her way out. Sure enough, less than an hour later a stranger did come into my house. A burglar? Robber? Kidnapper? Killer? Drug lord?

No, it was a local police officer, the "beat cop" for our neighborhood, who, on seeing my unlatched door, entered to make sure everything (including me) was okay. He insisted on walking with me around the house, opening closets, looking behind doors and, yes, even under beds, to be certain no one else had wandered in, and that nothing was missing. He was polite, smart and kind, but before he left, he lectured me on having not checked to see that my friend had locked the door behind her. In other words, he told me to use my common sense.

Do bad things happen here? Of course they do. Bad things happen everywhere, but the murder rate here is much lower than, say, New Orleans, and if there are bars on many of the ground floor windows of houses here, well, the same is true where I live, in Greenwich Village, which is considered a swell neighborhood - house prices start at about $4 million (including the bars on the ground floor windows.)

There are good reasons thousands of people from the United States are moving to Mexico every month, and it's not just the lower cost of living, a hefty tax break and less snow to shovel. Mexico is a beautiful country, a special place.

The climate varies, but is plentifully mild, the culture is ancient and revered, the young are loved unconditionally, the old are respected, and I have yet to hear anyone mention Britney Spears, Lindsay Lohan, or Madonna's attempt to adopt a second African child, even though, with such a late start, she cannot possibly begin to keep up with Angelina Jolie.

And then there are the people. Generalization is risky, but- in general - Mexicans are warm, friendly, generous and welcoming. If you smile at them, they smile back. If you greet a passing stranger on the street, they greet you back. If you try to speak even a little Spanish, they tend to treat you as though you were fluent. Or at least not an idiot.

I have had taxi drivers track me down after leaving my wallet or cell phone in their cab. I have had someone run out of a store to catch me because I have overpaid by twenty cents. I have been introduced to and come to love a people who celebrate a day dedicated to the dead as a recognition of the cycles of birth and death and birth - and the 15th birthday of a girl, an important rite in becoming a woman - with the same joy.

Too much of the noise you're hearing about how dangerous it is to come to Mexico is just that - noise. But the media love noise, and too many journalists currently making it don't live here. Some have never even been here. They just like to be photographed at night, standing near a spotlighted border crossing, pointing across the line to some imaginary country from hell. It looks good on TV.

Another thing. The U.S. media tend to lump all of Mexico into one big bad bowl. Talking about drug violence in Mexico without naming a state or city where this is taking place is rather like looking at the horror of Katrina and saying, "Damn. Did you know the U.S. is under water?" or reporting on the shootings at Columbine or the bombing of the Federal building in Oklahoma City by saying that kids all over the U.S. are shooting their classmates and all the grownups are blowing up buildings. The recent rise in violence in Mexico has mostly occurred in a few states, and especially along the border. It is real, but it does not describe an entire country.

It would be nice if we could put what's going on in Mexico in perspective, geographically and emotionally. It would be nice if we could remember that, as has been noted more than once, these drug wars wouldn't be going on if people in the United States didn't want the drugs, or if other people in the United States weren't selling Mexican drug lords the guns.

Most of all, it would be nice if more people in the United States actually came to this part of America (Mexico is also America, you will recall) to see for themselves what a fine place Mexico really is, and how good a vacation (or a life) here can be.

So come on down and get to know your southern neighbors. I think you'll like it here. Especially the people.

Linda Ellerbee is a distinguished U.S. print and television journalist, perhaps most widely known as the former co-anchor of NBC NewsOvernight.  She has also worked for ABC, the Associated Press, CNN and Nick News.
__________________________________________________

 

 

Mexico: safer than Canada

Aug 27th 2010, 14:36 by T.W. | MEXICO CITY

OK, so the headline is a bit of a fib. But a report on Mexico’s security situation has painted a more detailed picture than the one we hear about in the news most of the time. When I told friends I was moving to Mexico City, some asked if I would be provided with a bodyguard (no). Business travellers are thinking twice about coming, according to chambers of commerce here. But a detailed breakdown of violence released this week shows that, if you pick your state, you’re as safe—or safer—than in any other North American country.

Mexico’s overall homicide rate is 14 per 100,000 inhabitants: fearsomely high (and possibly an underestimate, given the drugs cartels' habit of hiding bodies in old mines), but quite a lot lower than its great Latin rival Brazil, whose rate is more like 25. As the chart below shows, Mexico’s death rate is bumped up by extraordinarily high levels of violence in four states: Chihuahua (home of Ciudad Juárez, widely labeled the world’s most murderous city), Durango, Sinaloa and Guerrero (see p.29 of
this document). Of the rest, some are blissfully serene: Yucatán, where tourists flock to swim with whale sharks and clamber over Chichen Itzá, has a murder rate of 1.7—slightly lower than Canada’s average of 2.1.

Before I am buried an avalanche of polite Canadian emails, I should acknowledge that comparing an entire country with one quiet state is hardly fair: there are no doubt parts of Canada where no-one has been so much as kicked in the shin for decades. But Mexico’s predicament is worth highlighting, because the extreme violence around its border with the United States colors people’s view of the rest of the country, though much of it is pretty quiet. A third of Mexico’s states hover around 5 murders per 100,000, about the same rate as the United States. Another third are around 8 per 100,000, similar to Thailand, for instance. A handful of states have rates in the teens—like Russia, say—and a couple are in the low twenties, a little lower than Brazil’s average. Then you have the chaos of the four very violent states, which sends the average soaring.

The carnage in Mexico’s badlands is not to be underestimated, and nor does it seem to be getting any better. Business travelers should certainly watch out in places such as Juárez and, these days, even in cities such as Monterrey. But people doing business south of the Rio Grande should remember that, even on average, Mexico is a less murderous country than places such as Brazil, and that once you avoid the hotspots, it’s downright safe.

Mexico's big hope: get 5 million U.S. retirees

aoppenheimer@MiamiHerald.com

MEXICO CITY -- Mexico is silently working on proposals aimed at drawing millions of U.S. retirees to this country, which could eventually lead to the most ambitious U.S.-Mexican project since the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement.

President Felipe Calderón is likely to propose the first steps toward expanding U.S. retirement benefits and medical tourism to Mexico when he goes to Washington on an official visit May 19, according to well-placed officials here. If not then, he will raise the issue later this year, they say.

``It's one of the pillars of our plans to trigger economic and social well-being in both countries,'' Mexico's ambassador to the United States Arturo Sarukhan told me. ``We will be seeking to increasingly discuss this issue in coming months and years.''

Calderón brought it up during a U.S.-Canada-Mexico summit in Guadalajara in August last year, but President Barack Obama asked him to shelve the idea until he was able to pass healthcare reform, another official told me.

Now that Congress has passed healthcare reform, Calderón is preparing to charge ahead.

 

Would you like to live well in retirement?

Many U.S. retirees are being lured by warm weather and a low cost of living to

Retire South of the Border.

Laura Cohn, Associate Editor interviewed Akaisha for this article.

From Kiplinger's Personal Finance magazine, July 2010

Read more click here

 

The Wall Street Journal: “Big Investors Call: Buy Mexico”

U.S. Investors Go South, Seek Safe Place for Cash in Real Estate

Mexico City
By Joel Millman

War Anxieties abroad, sluggish returns at home and Mexico’s recent recognition as investment-grade by all three major U.S. credit-rating agencies are behind the surge of U.S. institutional cash seeking a haven in Mexican real estate. According to industry analysts in both countries, more than $1 billion has washed into Mexico from U.S. institutional investors over the past eight months, and a lot more is on the way.

The Torre Mayor, a $250 million office tower built by Canada’s Reichman clan, is about to open just west of the Polanco-Palmas district. Latin America’s tallest office building at 55 stories, about a fourth of its 850,000 square feet has already been leased to Deloitte & Touche LLC. Other top players include the leasing arm of GE Capital and top real-estate investment trust like San Francisco’s AMB Property Corp. and Denver’s Prologis, have quietly built portfolios totaling billions in loads and equity holdings. GE Mexico, with $1.3 billion in the market, is now the biggest player in local real estate. "We’re still in the early innings in Mexico," says Gary Garrabrant of Chicago-based Equity International Properties, part of the Sam Zell family of real-estate operators. The privately held Equity International Properties unit various Mexican ventures since 2001, investing $75 million with Spain’s NH Hoteles in a chain of business-oriented hotels, acquiring a $30 million stake in Desarrolladora Homex, a builder of low-cost housing, and putting another $100 million into a joint venture called Corporate Properties of the Americas with Denver-based Black Creek Capital to develop industrial parks.

1. This week, Corporate Properties of the Americans closed a sale of a $300 million equity position to the Washington State Investment Board, the first U.S. public employees fund to invest directly in Mexican real estate.

With concern that a U.S. real-estate bubble may be moving toward its bursting point, investing south of the border may seem unnecessarily risky to some. Yet developers like Black Creek Capital’s Jim Mulvihill See Mexico as a hedge against U.S. volatility. The commercial and industrial real-estate markets are so underdeveloped in Mexico, Mr. Mulvihill says, "you can still buy quality. In the U.S., all the quality deals are gone."

The kinds of deals his company is structuring are tailor made for U.S. institutional investors, the developer explains, because they’re dollar-denominated and, in the case of industrial parks, guaranteed by the prime tenant. Even during the recent slowdown, with many electronics manufacturers-decamping to lower-cost sites in Asia, rents are paid in full. "Companies take a write-down," Mr. Mulvhill says, but his revenue stream remains uninterrupted.

Something for Title Insurers

Another attraction: U.S. title insurers can now operate in Mexico, and tenants feel confident that leases and construction contracts signed south of the border are enforceable under Mexican civil law. Compared with China, where private land ownership is still a controversial concept in some circles, investing even in a cooling Mexican manufacturing sector offers a return adequately balanced with risk. U.S. institutions are earning premiums of as much as 5% over similar real-estate investments at home, developers say.

In addition to its industrial real-estate partnership with the Zell group, Black Creek Capital has a second Mexico operation, Mexico Retail Partners that develops sites for American "big box" retailers like Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Costco Wholesale Corp. and Home Depot Inc. Black Creek expects to open as many as 10 Home Depot stores a year in Mexico, as the Atlanta based retailer increases its presence south of the border.

With each new project representing a $50 million transaction, Black Creek will complete upward of $500 million in contracts in each of the next three years, the company’s chairman says, and will seek additional capital from U.S. institutions this year.

Hines, and international real-estate firm, is also raising capital to increase its activity in Mexico. Two real-estate funds launched by the Houston firm in the mid-1990s dedicated to emerging markets now have about 30% of their assets in Mexico, or about $200 million, raised mainly from insurance companies and private investment pools. A third fund, with assets of around $400 million, is being contemplated for later this year.

Last week Hines chased out on investments the company mad in 1997, selling the Torredel Angel office tower on Mexico City’s Paseo de la Reforma and two industrial parks in Queretaro and Guadalajara. The package, a total of $110 million, represented the largest commercial real-estate transaction ever completed in Mexico. The proceeds will likely be rolled into Hines’s new fund. Luis Gutierrez, G. Accionâ’s chief executive officer, says the decision last year by Standard & Poor’s to grant an investment grade rating on Mexico’s sovereign debt, two years after both Fitch and Moody’s Investors Service issued similar upgrades, freed a lot of institutions to increase their exposure to Mexico. "of course, the situation in the U.S., with its soft markets and excess liquidity, helps us, too," says Mr. Gutierrez.

The best indicator of real estate’s may be the behavior of high-worth Mexicans, who usually park their money offshore. Local capital is moving back into the market, says Sandor Valner of merchant bank Valor Consultores. His group launched two funds, totaling $100 million, last year to invest in new hotel construction and hotel sale-leasebacks, tapping Mexico City’s country-club set for investors.

The Mexico They Never Left

by Roger Toll, former Editor of Mexico City News (Delta Sky Magazine, February 2006)

Near Guadalajara, the lakeside town of Ajijic has proven irresistible to many Americans. Here's why.

If the cherished ideals of human unity and harmony between cultures remain hard to achieve, maybe we'd best look to a basic biological concept for a solution. Symbiosis, the dictionary says, is the life association of two dissimilar organisms for mutual benefit. I thought of this on a recent visit to Ajijic (pronounced "ah-HEE-heek"), the prettiest of several towns laced together by a two-lane highway running along the northwest shore of Mexico's largest lake, Chapala, 45 minutes south of Guadalajara. It is midsummer, the rainy season, where the air is soft and the surrounding mountains turn an exuberant tropical green. The setting is bucolic, Old World, with a rustic church and peaceful plaza, and a gazebo waiting for a band to arrive. Cobblestone streets slow traffic to a genteel crawl, and people come and go, murmuring a polite "buenos dias" as they amble by. more ...

Travel Destination

Charming Central Mexico

For many of us gringos pronouncing the village's name Ajijic (A-HEE-HEEK) is almost as difficult as getting there. Nestled on the northern shore of Lake Chapala, Mexico's largest body of fresh water, the historic Mexican village of Ajijic is experiencing an unprecedented surge of los touristas. They're coming for the weather, the affordability, the culture and the warm hospitality of the residents of this 400+ year old village.  more...

 

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